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Will Bombing Iran Send More Refugees To Europe?
If the regime falls and iran enters civil war, can we expect the expect the migration crisis in Europe to worsen?
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In such an event a temporary shift might be possible, but it seems unlikely to happen. Indeed many that fled the oppression may well want to return to fight for their nation. Meanwhile, anyone wanting the nation to remain a nightmare Islamic state are going to be in the minority; those pining for a return the days of the Shah likely to be a sizable group. Any other alternative is unlikely to be sufficiently different as to cause a civil war and could be worked out.
Potentially some nations outside Iran with interests in influencing things may result in small groups getting sufficient resources to cause trouble, but I'd doubt they would get sufficient Iranian support to be considered that relevant.
"In such an event a temporary shift might be possible, but it seems unlikely to happen"
what a ridiculous assertion lol. if iran becomes a failed state then tens of millions of people will flee it... and millions will end up in europe
i wonder what the people who supported this madness will have to say then.
there are about 500,000 iranians across the whole of europe with 82,000 in the UK
if a country of 90 million falls apart because the west topples the regime then that number will pale into insignificance. how can you not see this? why are rightists so anti-refugee and yet so in favour of things that create them?
It happens to be a perfectly reasonable assertion. Why would there be civil war and a failed state when so many are sick of the oppression since the departing lot took over ?
It's fairer to ask if the war/failed state prediction isn't a ridiculous assertion.
No doubt there'll be differences of opinion on the exact way forward but no reason to think it'd blow up, as the nation has experienced stability & freedom before so many know how to behave. There are always a limited number of hotheads who want to be a pain, but I'm sure some gaols with still be in one piece for accommodating them.
"Why would there be civil war and a failed state when so many are sick of the oppression since the departing lot took over ?"
because of the power vacuum that follows. look at what happened in iraq and libya and afghanistan. all of those were horrible and unpopular oppressive regimes which were toppled by western intervention and the result was chaos and civil war. why do you think iran will be any different?
There is only one person speacking frivel and thats the Communist terrorist supporter.
Iran is the head of the fanatical Ilamic terrorit group, if they got Nukes were all done for as they will not hesitated to use them. MAD doesnt work the same for someone who believes life is far better after death.
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